12/28/20

Biden's 11/4 Early Morning Vote Jump in Michigan (Un-)Explained.

You've probably seen this graph and noticed the sudden jump of Biden's vote total in the early morning on 11/4 in Michigan.


You may have seen Josh Philip from EpochTime or the POTUS's videos on this jump.  (If you haven't seen them, that's because they are censored by BigTechs and main stream medias.)


In this post, I explain this jump and why it's fraudulent.

Let's focus on the "jump".


You can look at the data in your browser.  Open with Firefox:
Click "data", "races", "0", then scroll down and find and click "timeseries", then scroll down and find 465 and 466, click to open both, click "vote_shares" in both, you will see:


The jump at 466 happened at 11/4 11:31:53Z.  The time is GMT, in eastern time, it's 6:31:53am.  Notice the vote dump before it has timestamp 11:31:48Z.  That's 5 seconds before.  Edison research aggregates data from different counties, 2 counties might happen to report their data 5 seconds apart.  So the 5 second time difference is not cause for concern, unlike some pundits have said.

The number of votes in this vote dump is 4724327-4574555=149772.  Using "vote_shares" provided, Biden got: 4724327*0.485-4574555*0.47=141258 votes
Trump got: 4724327*0.498-4574555*0.513=5968 votes.

The number of votes that're calculated are not accurate because "vote_shares" are rounded to 3 decimal places.  To get accurate number of votes, we turn to another source.  This is New York Time's "votes remaining" data snapshots.  The data can be found:
By compare different snapshots of this data, we can find out which county updated its vote total and exact vote splits.
The data from Wayne County is listed here:

Notice the difference between the rows at 10:43:33Z(blue) and 11:33:20Z(orange).  Votes increased by:
607656-457884=149772.  So we know the vote dump is from Wayne county.
The exact number of votes for Biden and Trump:
Biden: 408131-268229=139902 votes
Trump: 190951-181974=8977 votes
That's 139902/149772=93.4% for Biden, and 8977/149772=6.0% for Trump.

Now the question is: Are these votes from Detroit?

From Detroit's official election result website:  Out of 250138, Biden got 233908, Trump got 12654.  It seems obvious the vote dump is from Detroit because the percentages match.  But let's make sure.
From Wayne county election result website: Out of 874018, Biden got 597170, Trump got 264553.  So from NON-Detroit precincts: out of 623880 (874018-250138) votes, Biden got 363262 (597170-233908), Trump got 251899 (264553-12654).  Percentage wise, Biden got 363262/623880=58.2%, Trump got 251899/623880=40.4%.

So from vote distribution, the 149772 vote dump could NOT come from non-Detroit Wayne County precincts.  It could Only come from City of Detroit.

But it DIDN'T.

From precinct level data snapshots of New York Times, in the timeframe between 10:23Z and 11:38Z, City of Detroit's increase in vote total is 11067.  
(The latest version of this data can be found at: https://static01.nyt.com/elections-assets/2020/data/api/2020-11-03/precincts/MIGeneralConcatenator-latest.json , but you need different snapshots of this file and calculate the difference to make sense of the data.)

Up to 10:23Z, Detroit's total is 214644, and it's already included in the 457884 figure from Wayne county.  Detroit's final total is 250138, so the 149772 number can not come from City of Detroit.

Now we have a problem: We know these 149772 votes came from Wayne County.  They can only come from Detroit and they did not come from Detroit.   They seemed to come out of thin air.

No one have provide an explanation to the Biden Jump and no medias have disputed or "fact-check"ed the fact that it's suspicious and the 149772 votes were most likely fraudulent. 



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12/20/20

Pennsylvania Election Night Data Irregularity

This is the plot of vote counts from Pennsylvania presidential race.  The data came from Edison Research, which was used by virtually all main stream medias for vote reporting.  You can get the data here.  Open it in Firefox, then click data->races->0->timeseries.  


You may notice something strange at the beginning part of the graph.  Vote count normally only goes up because it continues accumulating as time goes by.  But in this graph, there are spike-downs as well as spikes up. What's going on?

We will  expand this weird looking part and focus on the first 55 vote dumps from Pennsylvania.

The first vote dump (numbered 1 in the plot) out of Pennsylvania has 64535 votes with Biden's share 0.799 and Trump's 0.188.

If we do the calculation, Biden got 51563 and Trump got 12132.  Because vote shares are rounded to 3 decimal places, the vote counts Biden and Trump get are not accurate, even though the total vote is accurate.  But we can actually get the accurate vote count for each candidate.  The source is also Edison/New York Times.  NYTimes has timestamped snapshot vote reports for all precincts for certain counties of Pennsylvania.  For example the first report that has any non-zero votes is:
https://static01.nyt.com/elections-assets/2020/data/api/2020-11-03/precincts/PAGeneralConcatenator-2020-11-04T01:02:56.961Z.json
By calculating the difference between vote counts in different timestamped reports, we get a clear picture of vote increments for each candidate for each precinct of some counties at each timestamp.  So we know the exact vote split of the first vote dump - Biden:51555, Trump:12147, and they are all absentee votes from Allegheny county.  Here's sample of 2 precincts.


Next vote dump of 21818 is from Luzerne county.  The one after that is mostly from Centre county.

The vote dump numbered 2 in the graph is from Philadelphia. It has Biden 70573 and Trump 4279.  This first vote dump out of Philly is highly unusual.  It has by far highest Biden/Trump ratio of 16.5 among all vote dumps out of Philadelphia.  

In vote dump marked 3, out of 82711 votes, around 74000 were given to Biden, around 8500 was given to Trump.  At this point, Biden has 254000 votes, Trump has only 46000.  So Biden held a margin of 200 thousands over Trump.  It looks like Biden was given a huge head start.  But is it fraud?  Yes, it is.  Because they admitted in the vote dump #4.

In vote dump #4, there are 130027 votes, almost all of them are for Trump, Biden got virtually 0.  How can this possibly be a real vote dump?  It cannot.  I think someone was afraid of getting caught because the unrealistically huge Biden margin, so they bumped Trump's number up so it didn't look so suspicious.   But as we will see, this bump would be taken away later.

In the 3 vote dumps between #4 and #5, out of 121000 votes, Biden gained 96000, Trump gained 24000.   In the vote dump marked 6, out of 113941, Biden got 89000, Trump 24000.   A large component of this dump are votes from Montgomery county (72823 votes, Biden 64777, Trump 7756).
Biden's margin at this point is again over 200 thousands.

At #7, we have a crazy vote dump of 239084, out of which 200000 are for Biden, 40000 are for Trump.  Then after more than a dozen vote dumps, in #8, exactly 239084 votes were taken out.  I guess someone realized a huge Biden:Trump 5:1 vote dump was jus too unbelievable,  better taking it back then spread them out to smaller vote dumps so they are more credible.

In #9 vote dump, 114886 votes were taken out.  But only Trump's vote take a dive,  Biden's vote actually increased.  It seems they took out the #4 Trump bump.  At this point Biden's margin increased to be over 300 thousands.

Next in #10 vote dump, a total of 507047 votes were added.  Out of them, 337K are for Biden, 146K are for Trump.  This half million vote dump is absolutely fraud!  In these votes, 173K are from Chester county.  Out of 230 Chester precincts, 203 precincts reported 675 votes with Biden 421 and Trump 233.
To verify, open:

 in Firefox, click "Raw Data", then search for "chester" a few times.


Can 203 precincts have exactly same number of votes and exact same vote splits?  Impossible!

Both 421 and 233 are prime numbers.  What's the reason for prime numbers?  If you use prime number , you are guaranteed to NOT have a whole number ratio or numbers that have a common denominator (other than 1).    I guess the fraudulent vote tabulating system was programmed to generate random numbers that approach an overall ratio.  But to avoid suspicion, it try to generate numbers that have no apparent relationship.  Unfortunately in this case, the random number generator got stuck!

How many more  of these half million votes are fraudulent?  Most of them are.  Again realized this fraud vote dump was too apparent, in #11 at 2:22GMT or 9:22PM EST, they removed a total of 586189 votes!  Which votes did they remove?  I don't know.  But I do know that those fraudulent Chester county votes were not removed.  The next Chester vote update wouldn't come until 3 hours later at 5:27GMT (or 0:27 EST).

After #11 huge vote reduction, Biden still hold 200K margin over Trump.  From this point on, Trump was able to catch up and leap over.  The "glitch" that was caught on CNN where exactly 19958 votes were removed from Trump and added to Biden's total, happened at 4:08GMT (11:08pm EST).  As Trump continued gain momentum, at 2am EST in the morning he had a 700K margin over Biden.  Then came the big nation wide coordinated "halt", and vote dumps afterward that miraculously narrow the gap.  They have everyone's attention.

But I think just like the one in Maricopa county, the huge early Biden head-start in Pennsylvania need more attention.  The first 50 vote dumps out of Pennsylvania were complete mess.  Some of them got cleaned up,  but a good number of fraudulent votes are still there and in the final total.  They should be investigated and taken out.   The 421:233 Chester votes are still there.   The 75K Biden/Trump ratio 16.5 Philly votes are still there.  The 73K B/T 8:1 ratio Montgomery votes are still there.  The 30K 4:1 Centre votes are still there.  If even half of 200K early fraudulent Biden margin is taken out, Trump would win Pennsylvania (Biden's margin is 82K)

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